GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Refineros · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Real Refineros 3-3 Guerreros del Pacifico

Original prediction

Real Refineros

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Real Refineros

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Real Refineros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real RefinerosLLDDD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guerreros del PacificoLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real RefinerosGuerreros del Pacifico
47.6Attack27.8
38.1Defence50.0
28.6Form38.9
41.1Power40.4
1.52xG1.15
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