Real Refinerosvs
Ciervos
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 9/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Refineros · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Refineros 3-3 Ciervos
Original prediction
Real Refineros
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Real Refineros
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Real Refineros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real RefinerosDDWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
CiervosLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Real RefinerosCiervos
25.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence25.0
41.7Form0.0
47.4Power14.1
1.64xG0.82