Real Potosívs
Oriente Petrolero
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Potosí · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Potosí 2-1 Oriente Petrolero
Original prediction
Real Potosí
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.7% | 46.8% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.2% | 26.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.55 | 20.1% | 26.7% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Real Potosí
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Real Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00