Real Potosívs
Nacional Potosí
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Potosí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Potosí 2-2 Nacional Potosí
Original prediction
Nacional Potosí
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.1% | 32.9% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.8% | 26.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.1% | 40.8% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Potosí
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Nacional Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20