Real Potosívs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/21/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Potosí 3-1 Bolívar
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 01:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.55 | 19.9% | 24.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.1% | 23.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 55.9% | 51.8% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60