Real Potosívs
Aurora
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aurora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Potosí 1-1 Aurora
Original prediction
Aurora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.8% | 35.5% | -18.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.6% | 25.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.6% | 39.3% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Aurora
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40