Real Pilarvs
Villa Dalmine
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Pilar 0-0 Villa Dalmine, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Pilar 2-0 Villa Dalmine
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.0% | 29.0% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.3% | 36.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.7% | 34.4% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Projected Score
Real Pilar 0–0 Villa Dalmine
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real PilarLWWLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Villa DalmineDWLLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real PilarVilla Dalmine
36.0Attack34.2
65.8Defence81.1
52.3Form57.7
53.9Power59.5
0.51xG0.66