Real Pilarvs
Sportivo Italiano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 2/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Real Pilar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.1% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
27.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60