Real Pilarvs
Liniers
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Pilar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Pilar 0-0 Liniers, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Pilar 2-1 Liniers
Original prediction
Real Pilar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.3% | 44.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.0% | 33.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 21.7% | 21.6% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Projected Score
Real Pilar 0–0 Liniers
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Real Pilar
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Real Pilar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real PilarDLWLW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LiniersDDWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Real PilarLiniers
35.0Attack27.5
67.5Defence65.8
51.7Form37.5
53.8Power46.2
0.80xG0.48