Real Pilarvs
Ituzaingó
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Pilar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Pilar 1-0 Ituzaingó, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Pilar 0-0 Ituzaingó
Original prediction
Real Pilar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.7% | 55.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.6% | 26.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 8.40 | 10.7% | 17.3% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Projected Score
Real Pilar 1–0 Ituzaingó
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Real Pilar
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Real Pilar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20