GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 5/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Pilar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Excursionistas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Excursionistas hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real PilarLDDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ExcursionistasDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real PilarExcursionistas
36.7Attack50.0
65.6Defence74.4
50.0Form62.2
53.4Power63.1
0.59xG0.98
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