GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 3/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Pilar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Real Pilar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pilar hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Real Pilar holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Pilar

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

15.8%

Real Pilar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real PilarWLWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MerloDWLWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real PilarDeportivo Merlo
37.9Attack37.9
64.4Defence48.3
50.6Form42.5
53.6Power45.2
1.31xG0.73
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