Real Pilarvs
Arsenal Sarandi
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Pilar 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Pilar 2-1 Arsenal Sarandi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.1% | 27.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.1% | 33.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Real Pilar 0–0 Arsenal Sarandi
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real PilarWLDWW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Arsenal SarandiWWWWD
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Real PilarArsenal Sarandi
36.2Attack44.8
67.6Defence79.0
52.4Form62.9
54.6Power63.4
0.51xG0.82