Real Pharmvs
UCSA
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 3/24/2024, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Real Pharm are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while UCSA are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 48.9-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.8% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
87.8%
Model confidence
87.8%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60