GGOALVIO

Real Pharm logoReal PharmvsUCSA logoUCSA

COMPLETED

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 3/24/2024, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Real Pharm are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while UCSA are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 48.9-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.8% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UCSA

Probability

87.8%

Model confidence

87.8%

UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real PharmLWLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UCSADWWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real PharmUCSA
22.2Attack79.5
34.6Defence83.3
21.0Form76.9
28.7Power77.5
0.42xG3.29
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