GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/28/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Real Pharm are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Trostianets are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real PharmLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrostianetsLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Real PharmTrostianets
22.2Attack33.3
34.6Defence83.3
21.0Form50.0
28.7Power56.2
0.74xG1.82
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