Real Pharmvs
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 9/13/2023, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Real Pharm are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Metalurh Zaporizhya II hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20