GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/18/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Pharm · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Pharm are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kremin' II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pharm hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 16.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Druha Liga, while Real Pharm holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Pharm

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Real Pharm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real PharmLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kremin' IILLDLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Real PharmKremin' II
22.2Attack15.4
34.6Defence14.1
21.0Form7.7
28.7Power16.5
1.51xG0.95
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