GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 3/31/2024, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karpaty II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Pharm are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Karpaty II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty II hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Druha Liga, while Karpaty II holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karpaty II

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

Karpaty II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real PharmDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Karpaty IIDWWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real PharmKarpaty II
22.2Attack46.7
34.6Defence48.0
21.0Form48.0
28.7Power48.6
0.87xG1.79
View match centre →