GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/24/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Real Pharm are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Druzhba are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 47.7-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.1% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

86.1%

Model confidence

86.1%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real PharmLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DruzhbaWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real PharmDruzhba
22.2Attack74.7
34.6Defence81.3
21.0Form78.7
28.7Power76.4
0.42xG3.08
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