GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Oviedo II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Real Oviedo II 2-1 Racing Santander II

Original prediction

Real Oviedo II

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7750.8%50.9%0.1 pts
Draw3.3726.7%25.1%-1.5 pts
Away3.9922.5%23.9%1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Real Oviedo II

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Real Oviedo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Oviedo IIWDLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Racing Santander IILLLDL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real Oviedo IIRacing Santander II
50.0Attack20.0
25.0Defence26.7
33.3Form6.7
39.5Power21.6
1.94xG1.07
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