Real Oviedo IIvs
Gimnástica Torrelavega
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Oviedo II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Oviedo II 3-3 Gimnástica Torrelavega
Original prediction
Real Oviedo II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.4% | 45.4% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.2% | 28.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.4% | 26.2% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Real Oviedo II
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Real Oviedo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20