GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 9/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Oruro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Real Oruro 2-0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Original prediction

Real Oruro

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6654.7%58.1%3.3 pts
Draw4.0522.4%18.7%-3.8 pts
Away3.9722.9%23.3%0.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.3–17%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Real Oruro

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Real Oruro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real OruroLDLLL

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
San Antonio Bulo BuloWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Real OruroSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
58.8Attack35.3
15.7Defence31.4
35.3Form33.3
38.1Power36.0
2.64xG1.62
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