GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Oruro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Real Oruro 4-0 Real Tomayapo

Original prediction

Real Oruro

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4064.8%41.5%-23.2 pts
Draw4.6419.6%22.7%3.2 pts
Away5.7815.7%35.8%20.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-23.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Real Oruro

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Real Oruro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real OruroLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real TomayapoLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real OruroReal Tomayapo
33.3Attack47.6
23.8Defence23.8
19.0Form47.6
29.3Power41.2
1.65xG1.94
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