GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Potosí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Real Oruro 0-2 Real Potosí

Original prediction

Real Potosí

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1229.1%21.9%-7.1 pts
Draw3.3926.8%22.9%-3.8 pts
Away2.0544.2%55.1%11.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–211%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.1–210%

Predicted outcome

Real Potosí

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Real Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real OruroLLWLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real PotosíWLDLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real OruroReal Potosí
56.1Attack43.9
15.8Defence75.4
36.8Form50.9
37.7Power57.0
0.96xG2.13
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