Real Orurovs
Nacional Potosí
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Oruro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Oruro 0-2 Nacional Potosí
Original prediction
Real Oruro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.0% | 40.2% | 11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 27.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.2% | 32.6% | -13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Real Oruro
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Real Oruro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80