Real Orurovs
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Oruro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Oruro 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Original prediction
Real Oruro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.6% | 37.9% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 24.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.6% | 37.3% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Real Oruro
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Real Oruro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20