Real Orurovs
Aurora
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aurora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Oruro 1-0 Aurora
Original prediction
Aurora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.7% | 27.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.0% | 19.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 42.3% | 52.8% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Aurora
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real OruroWWLDL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AuroraDWDDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real OruroAurora
55.6Attack52.4
19.0Defence54.0
38.1Form49.2
39.0Power53.3
1.60xG2.44