Real Normannavs
Turris
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone H · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Normanna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Normanna 1-1 Turris
Original prediction
Real Normanna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 28.8% | 35.9% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 42.3% | 35.4% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Real Normanna
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Real Normanna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60