Real Murciavs
Teruel
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/6/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Murcia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Murcia 0-0 Teruel, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Murcia 4-0 Teruel
Original prediction
Real Murcia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.6% | 42.3% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.1% | 30.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 5.27 | 17.3% | 27.0% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Projected Score
Real Murcia 0–0 Teruel
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Real Murcia
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Real Murcia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real MurciaWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TeruelDLWDL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Real MurciaTeruel
37.7Attack0.0
64.9Defence100.0
45.6Form33.3
51.3Power45.3
1.02xG0.77