Real Murciavs
Alcorcon
SCHEDULEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 11/15/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alcorcon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 02:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Alcorcon
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Alcorcon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real MurciaWLWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlcorconLWWWD
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Real MurciaAlcorcon
50.0Attack61.9
66.7Defence76.2
66.7Form57.1
60.8Power63.5
0.95xG1.18