Real Murcia IIvs
Yeclano
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeclano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Murcia II 0-1 Yeclano, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Murcia II 1-1 Yeclano
Original prediction
Yeclano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 24.1% | 26.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.5% | 29.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.4% | 44.4% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Real Murcia II 0–1 Yeclano
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Yeclano
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Yeclano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real Murcia IILWLLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
YeclanoDWLDW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Real Murcia IIYeclano
25.0Attack26.7
25.0Defence80.0
25.0Form53.3
27.9Power56.5
0.76xG1.20