Real Murcia IIvs
Mallorca II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Murcia II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Murcia II 0-1 Mallorca II
Original prediction
Real Murcia II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 35.0% | 37.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 29.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.1% | 33.7% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Real Murcia II
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Real Murcia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.75/3.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20