GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Monarchs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Real Monarchs are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Whitecaps II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Monarchs hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while Real Monarchs holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Monarchs

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

9.2%

Real Monarchs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Whitecaps IIWLWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real MonarchsWhitecaps II
47.0Attack42.4
36.4Defence25.8
33.3Form24.2
40.0Power33.8
2.34xG1.49
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