Real Monarchsvs
Ventura County
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ventura County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Monarchs 2-1 Ventura County
Original prediction
Ventura County
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.6% | 18.5% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 17.1% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.2% | 64.4% | 23.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Ventura County
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Ventura County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20