GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Monarchs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Real Monarchs are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Monarchs hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while Real Monarchs holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Monarchs

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

9.2%

Real Monarchs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsDWDLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vancouver Whitecaps IIWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real MonarchsVancouver Whitecaps II
47.0Attack42.4
36.4Defence25.8
33.3Form24.2
40.0Power33.8
2.34xG1.49
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