Real Monarchsvs
Tacoma Defiance
SCHEDULEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Monarchs are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tacoma Defiance
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
11.9%
Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60