MLS Next ProMLS Next Pro
Monday, 20 July 2026Last updated 14:56
Real Monarchs

Real Monarchs

Home
L
24
Full time
Tacoma Defiance

Tacoma Defiance

Away
DW
Zions Bank Stadium
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Draw(23%)
Win probability
Real Monarchs
44%
Draw
23%
Tacoma Defiance
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Real Monarchs
9
Tacoma Defiance
54
Defence
Real Monarchs
66
Tacoma Defiance
66
Momentum
Real Monarchs
0
Tacoma Defiance
67
Danger (xG)
Real Monarchs
0.00
Tacoma Defiance
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Real Monarchs)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Tacoma Defiance)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Real Monarchs)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Tacoma Defiance)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
LD
Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance
DWL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Real Monarchs44%
Draw23%
Tacoma Defiance33%

Real Monarchs leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Real Monarchs head into this in MLS Next Pro fixture at Zions Bank Stadium in mixed form (L), while Tacoma Defiance arrive in mixed form (DW). Real Monarchs have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Tacoma Defiance over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Real Monarchs (66/100) and Tacoma Defiance (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Real Monarchs have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Tacoma Defiance have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Tacoma Defiance have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 44% confidence. Win probabilities: Real Monarchs 4360%, Draw 2301%, Tacoma Defiance 3339%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Real Monarchs 0Draws 01 Tacoma Defiance
Avg goals: 1.0
22 Jun 2026
Real Monarchs
L01
Tacoma Defiance

Recent form

Real Monarchs

Real Monarchs

L
@ Tacoma Defiance
22 Jun 2026
01
D
vs The Town
13 May 2026
11
Tacoma Defiance

Tacoma Defiance

D
@ Minnesota United II
29 Jun 2026
22
W
vs Real Monarchs
22 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Austin II
11 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more