GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/3/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Real Monarchs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Portland Timbers II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers II

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

13.1%

Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsLLWDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Timbers IIDWDLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
47.0Attack42.4
36.4Defence63.6
33.3Form63.6
40.0Power58.4
1.06xG1.61
View match centre →