Real Monarchsvs
Portland Timbers II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 5/3/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Real Monarchs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Portland Timbers II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers II
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
13.1%
Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40