GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/1/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Texas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Monarchs are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while North Texas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and North Texas hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while North Texas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Texas

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

North Texas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
North TexasLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Real MonarchsNorth Texas
47.0Attack52.4
36.4Defence47.6
33.3Form42.9
40.0Power47.9
1.58xG1.91
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