Real Monarchsvs
Minnesota United II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minnesota United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Monarchs 0-0 Minnesota United II
Original prediction
Minnesota United II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.7% | 27.9% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.0% | 20.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.3% | 51.3% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Minnesota United II
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Minnesota United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60