GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/15/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Real Monarchs are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Los Angeles II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles II hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while Los Angeles II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles II

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

10.4%

Los Angeles II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsWDLWW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Los Angeles IILDLDL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Real MonarchsLos Angeles II
47.0Attack52.4
36.4Defence49.2
33.3Form50.8
40.0Power52.7
1.51xG1.94
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