Real Madrid Wvs
Valencia W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid W 3-1 Valencia W
Original prediction
Real Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 85.9% | 63.7% | -22.1 pts |
| Draw | 9.23 | 9.9% | 19.9% | 10.0 pts |
| Away | 21.67 | 4.2% | 16.3% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid W
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Real Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00