Real Madrid Wvs
Granad. Tenerife W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid W 3-2 Granad. Tenerife W
Original prediction
Real Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.4% | 55.5% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 19.9% | 20.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.76 | 15.7% | 24.1% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid W
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Real Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20