Real Madrid Wvs
Espanyol W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid W 3-1 Espanyol W
Original prediction
Real Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 77.8% | 47.9% | -29.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.28 | 14.4% | 21.3% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 11.77 | 7.7% | 30.7% | 23.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid W
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Real Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00