Real Madrid Wvs
Eibar W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/6/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid W 0-0 Eibar W
Original prediction
Real Madrid W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.6% | 49.8% | -30.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.79 | 13.4% | 24.0% | 10.6 pts |
| Away | 15.29 | 6.0% | 26.2% | 20.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid W
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Real Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00