Real Madrid Wvs
Atletico Madrid W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid W 3-2 Atletico Madrid W
Original prediction
Real Madrid W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.3% | 49.1% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.8% | 23.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 17.9% | 27.2% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid W
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Real Madrid W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 0 · avg 2.20/0.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40