Real Madridvs
Inter
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid 2-1 Inter
Original prediction
Real Madrid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 59.2% | 54.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 21.6% | 23.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 19.3% | 21.3% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Real Madrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80