Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202617:00Updated today
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
W
vs
17:00
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Away
W
Sportpark Klagenfurt Kunstrasen
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Fiorentina33%
Real Madrid33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Real Madrid
33%
Draw
33%
Fiorentina
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Real Madrid
99
Fiorentina
73
Defence
Real Madrid
27
Fiorentina
91
Momentum
Real Madrid
100
Fiorentina
100
Danger (xG)
Real Madrid
1.90
Fiorentina
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Real Madrid)
1.90
avg per match
xG for (Fiorentina)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Real Madrid)
0.81
avg per match
xG against (Fiorentina)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Real MadridReal Madrid
W
FiorentinaFiorentina
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Real Madrid33%
Draw33%
Fiorentina33%

Fiorentina leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Real Madrid head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture at Sportpark Klagenfurt Kunstrasen in mixed form (W), while Fiorentina arrive in mixed form (W). Real Madrid have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Fiorentina over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Real Madrid (99/100) and Fiorentina (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Real Madrid have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Fiorentina have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Real Madrid have generated 1.90 xG per game recently while conceding 0.81 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Real Madrid and Fiorentina in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Real Madrid 3333%, Draw 3333%, Fiorentina 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

W
vs Athletic Club
23 May 2026
42
xG 1.9
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

W
@ Juventus
17 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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