Real Madrid U19vs
RB Leipzig U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid U19 5-2 RB Leipzig U19
Original prediction
Real Madrid U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 79.3% | 60.8% | -18.6 pts |
| Draw | 7.01 | 13.0% | 20.4% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 11.77 | 7.7% | 18.8% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid U19
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Real Madrid U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20