Real Madrid IIvs
Antequera
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Madrid II 3-2 Antequera
Original prediction
Real Madrid II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.6% | 41.6% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.0% | 27.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.4% | 30.7% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid II
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Real Madrid II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20